I can’t say that I am good at predicting the future. Then again, I don’t try to make a living off of it. Ray Kurzweil is a futurist who regular talks about how great technology will be in the 2020s by extrapolating trends like Moore’s Law (and, in fact, accelerating them). Will his predictions come true? Actually, we can make a prediction about that based in his past performance. <\/p>\n
Here he is, in a 2005 TED talk<\/a>:<\/p>\n \u201cBy 2010 computers will disappear. They\u2019ll be so small, they\u2019ll be embedded in our clothing, in our environment. Images will be written directly to our retina, providing full-immersion virtual reality, augmented real reality. We\u2019ll be interacting with virtual personalities.\u201d <\/p>\n I don’t know about you, but my computer has yet to disappear. And thankfully, I still interact with non-virtual personalities.<\/p>\n He was way off making a prediction five years into the future. I suspect he will only be further off in his further out predictions. Still, I bet if you ask Ray Kurzweil he’ll tell you he was dead on with this prediction. He always does:<\/p>\n